Exactly as the title says, do you guys think Reddit will buckle and at least be more reasonable or maybe even reverse their current decisions?
Edit: if not lemmy to the moon 🚀
No. They are trying to finalize an IPO. No amount of anything is going to stop them from this cash grab.
Short term, I agree with you. Long term, for me it’s a virtual certainty that Huffman is fired as CEO of Reddit within one year of an IPO. At that point, the community and content may have deteriorated so much that a new CEO sees value in re-opening the API and third-party apps, probably with some kind of revenue share/ad delivery aspect, and maybe with a (sensible) fee for the biggest users.
EDIT: having just discovered Manifold Markets (thanks @lixus98 !) I’ve created a market for this: https://manifold.markets/IE/will-steve-huffman-be-fired-or-resi
The IPO will catch on fire, burn up and fall over into the swamp. The last thing you need in the 11th hour of an IPO is bad press and protests.
The move overall smacks of desperation. The investors aren’t blind. Spez is openly calling out that they’re not profitable, on the eve of the IPO.
Honestly, all things considered in his rock solid stance I’m expecting more of a fire sale.
I don’t think they’ll cave in, and honestly I don’t care what they do.
People like us made reddit what it is, and we can make a home somewhere else one way or the other.
It’s time we take the internet as a whole back from the billionaires and their soulless venture capital firms anyway.
Make internet nerdy again, I always say.
I completely agree!
The less algorithms the better
I think it depends on how successful the blackout is, because truthfully, most Reddit users probably don’t care about 3rd party apps, and just want to continue using Reddit, but if their favorite communities shut down indefinitely, I think there’s a chance.
But Spez also seems dead set on their plan, so only time will tell. But on the bright side, if it doesn’t we’ll see tons of new faces here
Agreed that most Reddit users don’t care about 3rd party apps. They are also more likely just to be lurkers and not interact with the content as much, besides up and downvoting.
So if a larger number of the power users leave, Reddit’s content could become more stale and just turn people off from going to the site.
Of course this is all very hypothetical and I don’t have stats to back any of this up. It’s just a hunch.
As a long time reddit lurker, I care very much that RIF is dead :/
They might not care about the 3rd party apps themselves, but having massive functioning communities would be near impossible using only the official moderating tools. The quality of the website is going to diminish a lot. A lot of niche communities have only a handful of spare time moderators that benefit greatly from the 3rd party api. It’s not possible to say the exact scope of problems until the day comes, but by most accounts it’s going to be a massive hit.
The quality of the website is going to diminish a lot.
Even still, people will hold on and reminisce of the good old days for another 10 years. The impact will be notable, but you can’t save them all.
don’t have stats to back any of this up
But look how fast Mr Trump’s network - truth? Truthier? - dried up. I forget why, but I’m assuming that after each hillbilly is done virtue-signaling then there’s little left to do but get off the site or plan a cou-- oh, now I remember.
If you post about your disdain for Reddit’s handling of the situation on a mainstream subreddit you get downvoted and spammed with “official app isn’t that bad” replies.
The sad truth is: only power users care about 3rd Party Apps and those make up for a very small percentage of the userbase.
Reddit doesn’t care about us.
The sad truth is: only power users care about 3rd Party Apps and those make up for a very small percentage of the userbase.
Maybe a small percentage of the overall userbase, *but *a huge percentage of the mods (who do most of the janitorial work that keeps the place mostly clean of spam and other miscreants so it’s usable) use those 3rd party apps.
That’s what I’m hoping for. We’ll see come June 15th how the blackout really affected the site, and on July 1st if content creators / mods / power users where really committed to the cause.
Their MBAs already crunched the numbers and included users like us in the “acceptable use” category
They would rather you all be gone to be replaced with casuals who can be more profitable
I’m not convinced it’ll completely back down but I suspect there is a chance they’ll lower the pricing structure to a more ‘reasonable’ amount.
If I put my tinfoil hat on I’d say this was the plan from the start;
- Announce something ludicrous
- Get the users a bit fired up
- Backtrack to what you’d always planned
- Play it all off like “See, we listen to you guys, aren’t we good?”
I just can’t see that being the plan with how heavily spez burned bridges with some of the app devs.
Accusing the Apollo dev of blackmail then doubling down once caught in the lie pretty much guarantees Apollo won’t continue with any pricing level.
That seems to be the way it works with a lot of platforms and products.
Honestly can’t say I care at this point. I rather want Reddit to burn to the ground so that we get some real improvements on other platforms. From the admins to the mods to the users, the platform is just so rotten at this point that it takes most of the fun out of it.
Eh. The more bad decisions they make, the better it will be for the Fediverse. And with the way things are with corpos across the board, I prefer that at this point.
Agreed. They showed their hand. Better for everyone if they just double down. Rip off the bandaid.
It doesn’t really matter. Spez burned all the bridges with the main 3PA devs. None of them will want to invest time and effort again for a company that treats them like this and could change its mind again on a whim.
This is the important part, I think: Spez showed that he will grind up his marketing partners - as 3PA devs are - into today’s lunch … and likely hope there’s more to eat tomorrow.
Maybe, but there’s a lot of profit to be made in making third party apps
The things that happened first with Twitter and now with Reddit, proved to me that it’s pointless to put trust in closed-source. So even if they decide to revert changes (which they won’t do), I lost my trust already. Why do I have to rely on them if alternatives are available?
Decentralization and FOSS are the solution. They have their problems. True, but they solve many BS in social media.
Reddit only really exists because of three things: 1) the company that pays the server bills; 2) the users who ADD content; 3) the moderators who curate their communities, fight spam, etc., etc. The demographics of 2) and 3) are HEAVILY skewed towards third-party apps, especially 3). By blocking third-party apps there will almost certainly be a significant decrease in content creation, and a definite decrease in the quality of moderation. Both of these will hurt Reddit, especially in the long-term. Spez has played his hand really poorly here, and has overestimated the switching costs to other platforms. I’m already feeling at home on Lemmy and kbin, if and hopefully when the communities get repopulated, it’s going to be just fine.
Only just a little, to try to get back valuable users without disappointing shareholders, probably with some vague and fake promise.
In any case, the AMA has caused a permanent trust damage for many users
Hell will freeze over before they change course. “It’s all in the game.” to quote one of my favourite series ever.
There you go giving a fuck when it ain’t your turn to give a fuck.
I really doubt there’s anything the user base could do to change the company’s path. There are millions of people that will continue to use their product regardless of bad UI and even worse PR. It’s not what the average reddit user is concerned with. The lowest common denominator just wants an outlet to consume media, and Reddit can still deliver that.
My personal opinion on all of this - Reddit will continue to grow and change, and it will get worse and worse for longtime users who remember the earlier years. I’m happy to abandon ship now so that it’s no longer my problem at least.
Sorry for the downer reply lol
Reddit will continue to grow and change, and it will get worse and worse for longtime users who remember the earlier years. I’m happy to abandon ship now so that it’s no longer my problem at least.
Exactly how I feel. I don’t think this will have a huge effect on the overall number of people on Reddit, but I certainly do think it will have a large effect on the moderation quality, and overall content/discussion quality. Reddit is, and has been, on its way to joining the homogenized social media group, that a lot of us were on Reddit to avoid.
I think if they had been straight up with their intentions and gave 3rd party devs time to adjust, gave them jobs/roles to improve their application. Or literally express themselves in any other way about their plans. I really honestly think that people would have been less pissed. But they decided to be secretive and dishonest about their intentions. I feel like Spez is a sitting duck who will get plucked off the moment the company goes public regardless. The fact that Reddit as he has publicly stated is not profitable now and never has been is quite damning. Investors are not going to like that. And will not willingly invest into a company that will not make them money.
I don’t see them backtracking regardless of what happens with spez but they could have been more honest from the forefront. It still would have sucked. People would have probably still moved on. But there would be less animosity towards the suits in charge right now.
Spez is a sitting duck who will get plucked off the moment the company goes public
This, exactly. After that disastrous AMA, I wouldn’t be surprised if any venture capitalist or other large investor interested in the company insisted on Spez stepping down as a condition for their investment.
Implicit in the question is the hope that Reddit will buckle so we can all happily go back there. However this whole debacle has opened people’s eyes to a better, brighter future for the internet, where not all is controlled by large corporations. So even if Reddit does buckle, many will stick around at Lemmy. Not because Lemmy’s content is better (it will be eventually, although now it remains a bit sparse) but because the whole ethos is superior.
