• zloubida@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          20 days ago

          I’m just tired. Maybe it’s not the best way of expressing it but the level of denying is hard to understand and quite unnerving. How could someone look at my graph and be happy?

          • denial@feddit.org
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            20 days ago

            No one thinks everything is fine.

            But there is a big difference between “renewables won’t replace fossil fuels” and “renewables are replacing fossil fuels too slowly”! One is impossible to fix, the other one is only really hard. So let’s not talk it worse than it is. We have the technology to fix this! Now we have to deal with human nature and capitalism – that is hard enough.

            • zloubida@sh.itjust.worksOP
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              20 days ago

              Username checks out. They won’t soon enough because they did not. It’s already too late. What we need now is to open our eyes and strengthen our communities to survive the collapse that already begun.

              • denial@feddit.org
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                20 days ago

                Every tenth of a degree makes it worse. Even if you think it is ‘too late’, it is still worth fighting to decarbonize as fast as possible, to not fuck us even more. There is no buckling down in small communities, if the climate and biodiversity collapse. If you want also prep do so, but don’t stop fighting the sources of climate change. And don’t tell others not to fight!

    • zloubida@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      20 days ago
      1. “Keeping fossil generation flat”, while a part of this increase is caused by the transition itself is not a win. You just remade the point I made myself.
      2. It’s a graph about proportion, meaningless for our debate.
      3. It’s a graph about one country, as the decrease here is “fueled” by materials made in other countries. Australia does what the Occident does since the colonial era: it exports its pollution. And even there, the decrease is very small.

      So, thank you for proving I’m right.

      • ikt@aussie.zone
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        20 days ago

        I’m confused

        It’s a graph about proportion, meaningless for our debate.

        You said it’s flat but it’s clearly not, as seen in the first image renewables in the form of solar and battery are now hitting fossil fuels from both ends

        For example we can see battery is taking over gasses peaking role:

        https://aussie.zone/post/32561882

        We can see EV adoption is shrinking oil’s role:

        https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2025/outlook-for-energy-demand

        “Keeping fossil generation flat”, while a part of this increase is caused by the transition itself is not a win. You just remade the point I made myself.

        We’re both looking at the same graph and reading it differently

        You’re pointing to the historical record showing how fossil fuel usage is flat and renewables is only covering the new increased demand

        I’m pointing to the trend showing increasing renewables growth including for the first time renewables not only covering all increased electricity demand but also existing demand decreasing fossil fuel use

        • zloubida@sh.itjust.worksOP
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          20 days ago

          You said it’s flat but it’s clearly not

          It is, and your own graph says that explicitly in its title… The proportion of renewable is growing; the absolute numbers are flat. The proportion is meaningless : there’s still as much pollution produced as before. More even.

          but also existing demand decreasing fossil fuel use

          None of your graphs showed that, only the one about Australia; and it’s the global one that counts.

          • ikt@aussie.zone
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            20 days ago

            It is, and your own graph says that explicitly in its title…

            Yes for 2025 only, you don’t seem to have noticed that in previous years fossil fuel use also increased to help cover increased electricity demand, I’ve highlighted this here:

            In 2025 not only was renewables covering all new electricity demand but also existing demand decreasing fossil fuel use

            Solar PV was the single largest contributor to growth in global energy supply in 2025, accounting for more than 25% of the increase – the first time on record that a modern renewable source has led global primary energy supply growth. Natural gas took the next largest share, at 17%, reflecting its role in power generation in many countries. Overall, renewable sources and nuclear met nearly 60% of all growth in energy demand – and power generation from these sources exceeded total growth in electricity demand.

            https://www.iea.org/news/global-energy-demand-growth-was-met-by-diverse-range-of-sources-in-2025-led-by-solar-and-then-gas

            The last line is most important:

            power generation from these sources exceeded total growth in electricity demand

            As seen in original post, renewables deployment is accelerating and covering all growth and reducing fossil fuel use in existing electricity demand, I’m super confident we’ll soon see it cover all energy demand

            This was from 2025:

            Global oil demand rose by 0.7%, in line with IEA projections. This reflected continued growth of electric vehicles, which constrained demand for road fuels. Electric car sales in 2025 increased by over 20% to more than 20 million units – making up around one in four new car sales worldwide

            want a free preview of 2026?

            Global oil demand is forecast to decline by 1.1 mb/d y-o-y in 2026.

            https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-june-2026

            Turns out Russian refineries being hit by Ukranian drones every few days isn’t good for Russians trying to buy petrol nor is it good for exports

            On top of this a certain Iran/US war has helped more people move to EV’s than ever before

            EV enthusiasm continues as research detects lasting consumer shift

            “What the numbers are telling us is that we are actually moving into a new phase,” said Andrea Pellegrini, a lecturer and researcher at the Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies at the University of Sydney.

            “Now actually we are kind of going into a phase where the market is becoming more mature.”

            https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08-05/tesla-hits-record-in-july-as-ev-sales-close-in-on-petrol-cars/106996416

            Stay positive my friend ;)