One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain’t worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.
Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
rewatching vids of oct 7 reminded me of something I was thinking when it happened. Hamas was putting video out within a few hours of Al-Aqsa Flood start and I suspect they had crews on motorcycles collecting go-pro sd cards and porting them back into Gaza where Hamas propaganda warriors would edit and upload almost in real time. Like it wasn’t just an add-on but a significant part of the operation. They were putting out video, info graphics and other related stuff in order to dominate the narrative as soon as possible. This might be the first time the term ‘keyboard warrior’ was a real thing and they were likely targeted by IOF in the subsequent bombing campaign. o7 to all the people behind the line.
I’ve seen a lot of articles and youtube videos about how this war triggered Israel’s death throes, and the parallels between Israel and apartheid South Africa & Rhodesia, but those media which highlighted the internal contradictions of Israel, its collapsing economy and international standing, often overlook how desperate the US is to have a satellite state in the West Asia enough to brazenly establish its support for Israel.
All this, despite the damage to US prestige and diplomatic credibility (notwithstanding that the US state does not nor needs to care about internal dissident or crisis) because the US can brute force its support and suffer little to no economic or political repercussions.
Israel is a nuclear powered state with very powerful supporters in the US and Europe, as part of a symbiotic relationship these powers have with each other, to ensure the economic and political dominance of the larger political community known as the “West”.
My larger concern is what Norman Finkelstein has been saying recently: Israel has defeated Hamas in Gaza by destroying Gaza itself. Therefore, the probability that Israel has the power and support needed to enact its depraved agenda of ethnic cleansing and genocide, and survive its repercussions on the world stage for a decade before it goes back to the status quo of pre October 7th, is a very plausible future.
Israel has managed to pursue this for over a year now.
Israel is at its weakest moment and continues to get weaker; there will be no return to the status quo, nor even an attempt to do so.
Do not mistake the desperate flailing and biting of a terminally wounded animal with a leg torn off and an arrow in its side as a sign of strength and power.
Israel has defeated Hamas in Gaza by destroying Gaza itself.
This is incorrect. Hamas is stronger than ever. Gaza is in ruins but the people are not dead. Worst case estimates say that after a year of unchecked genocide 10% of Gazans are dead. Israel doesn’t have 10 years. Now that isisrael are invading Lebanon they have to split their resources, resources that were already lower due to the damage Hamas inflicted. usa’s ability to produce bombs is not unlimited. Their stockpiles of many other things are already tapped. usa can help but not much because they want to have a war with China.
The only thing defeated by the destruction of Gaza is the idea that the western liberal world order was “fair” or “just” and not just bloodthirsty racial supremacy.
When isisrael is defeated Gazans wont need Gaza because they will be able to go home.
How do they “win” when they kill everyone? They don’t gain anything from this. They won’t get a victory screen when they kill more people.
Also, they can’t go back. They just started a 4-front war. They will never go back ever. Liberals always double down. They’d sooner declare war on China than go back.
Israel is genocidal. Killing everyone is kind pf the point of genocide.
And then? Are they happy then? Are they safe then? Do they have more resources then? No.
The goal of the zionists is to put all jews into jerusalem so some weird magic happens and kills them all. But that magic doesn’t exist outside Nicholas 2’s rotten ghoul brain.
The goal is to create enough liebensraum for millions of jews in Europe and the Americas. Even if they magically got every Jewish person to do aliyah, they would then open their doors to converts like Milei and probably Afrikaners should South Africa splinter. Given what just happened to Armenia, I sincerely doubt they will ever again pursue peace.
How do they “win” when they kill everyone? They don’t gain anything from this. They won’t get a victory screen when they kill more people.
Seems obvious to me, the purpose is to kill them all to take the land, they proud themselves on taking occupied Palestinian homes since day one.
The victory condition is clear, kill everyone and take the land, use the land to create a greater zionist state and use that as an even stronger foothold to cleanse the rest of the ME.
And when that “victory condition” is achieved, what then? Do they get a victory screen and go to naziheaven? Or do they just get another barrage of iranian missiles in the face?
the zionists are living in fantasyland to think Gaza being theirs could turn this shit around. what, they’d get to build offshore oil rigs in a decade or two? how is that going to replace the people and materiel it loses to take it? the increased costs demanded by ongoing war because it’s opened more fronts to ‘facilitate’ the first one?
nazis all seem to think they can kickstart the centuries-long historical process of settler colonialism on the timeline of a military campaign
the zionists are living in fantasyland to think Gaza being theirs could turn this shit around. what, they’d get to build offshore oil rigs in a decade or two? how is that going to replace the people and materiel it loses to take it?
Nobody ever accused fascists of being remotely rational or sane.
But at the same time a settler colonial project fundamentally includes land occupation, its the #1 requirement.
It’s not that they think they can turn it around, but that the window of opportunity is rapidly closing.
You have a 10% chance of success today versus a 1% chance in 5 years, you’d rather bet on that 10% chance.
The same with the US. Once Iran gets Russian air defenses (a process accelerated by the Ukraine war), then the US-Israeli air superiority in the region is over. If Iran gets its own nuclear weapons, they can actually retaliate against the US. They have to do this now before that opportunity is closed forever.
there’s 100 ways they could have been more methodical and less clumsy if they were actually operating with a keen awareness of a ‘window of opportunity’, there’s only a fascist anxiety absent real analysis or realistic prescriptions for victory. the nazis being somewhat aware that their capacity to do barbarossa was declining with time never reached the inescapably obvious conclusion it could not succeed, nor did it help them plan it appropriately—the push for the caucauasian oil fields only being granted priority after the campaign was underway
there’s 100 ways they could have been more methodical and less clumsy
Like how?
Iran has positioned both of its direct interventions as replies to egregious provocations from israel. they would not have happened if there was any restraint on the zionists’ part. the gains from their assassinations and terrorism do not match the damage and deeper commitment Iran has been forced into. and they’re literally gearing up to do it again, apparently while running low on their air defenses. wasting resources bombing Syria. escalating in Lebanon before they can decrease commitments in Gaza or the West Bank.
how is this a “master plan”? this is a suicide pact relying on god or the united states to sweep in and fix everything for them. even if provoking US entry is the core pillar they’re genuinely pursuing to the exclusion of fascist delusion that they can win 10 fronts at once: that is still irrational. the US has proven repeatedly it cannot wipe away entrenched resistance! they’ve also lost in Lebanon, and lost in Iraq!
Every year it’s going to get worse. Antivaxxers should be killed, but instead liberals will present them as reasonable people.
Antivaxxers used to be a fringe minority position of extremists that were openly ridiculed by most.
Now it’s like 55% of society.
what do you mean lol, I wish 45% of Americans got vaccinated.
As of September 28, 2024, 6.4% (95% Confidence Interval: 5.8%-7.1%) of adults reported having received the 2024-25 COVID-19 vaccine.
20.9% (19.3%-22.4%) reported they definitely will get a vaccine.
From https://www.cdc.gov/covidvaxview/weekly-dashboard/index.html
Granted the reason for it to be so low is the fact it’s not free anymore, but based on the absolutely abysmal number of people who still mask I’m willing to bet the number wouldn’t be much higher even if the vax was still free.
drops another bipartisanship bomb:
At a campaign event geared toward Republican supporters in Scottsdale, Ariz., Ms. Harris said the council would be an attempt to “put some structure” around policy discussions that reach across the aisle.
“Wherever they come from, I love good ideas,” she said at the Grayhawk Golf Club in Scottsdale. “We have to have a healthy two-party system.”
She’s campaigning to the right of 2020 Biden.
This is why I tell liberals yes, I want your candidates to lose. The lesson they take from Biden’s win is they should run to the right. Ok then the next candidate (Harris) runs to the right again. This isn’t harm reduction nor the lesser of evil. It is encouraging the Democrats to run to the right. They say that “progress takes time” but they’re never moving towards better things, they’re moving towards worse things progressively. Do I think Trump is better? Obviously not. But the Dems have to eat shit with this strategy of appealing to “fascism lite”.
So this week I’ve been dealing with a fucking $$ettler KKKolonialist virus that was trying to colonize my body and commit genocide on all of my body cells. Thankfully the Resistance (my immune system) fought them off. However, since I am left a coughing mess afterwards, and am still in pain, who’s to say the virus really lost? Maybe causing me immense pain after the infection was the virus’s true goal all along, and my immune system didn’t actually win despite purging the virus from my body.
Anyways back to the point, has there been any major news since then? Are Israeli ground troops still getting torn up in Lebanon?
The viruses goal is spreading, not murdering you. The virus lost