I don’t think so. Until we get actual intelligence (called AGI now) and Fusion power we won’t have a second industrial revolution. Because once the power issue is solved, we only have a resource problem. We’ll see an explosion of industry if humanity can achieve fusion.
I know the meme is that fusion is always 20 years away, but with recent developments and China’s private companies achieving 2/3 critical conditions for extended fusion it really does feel like we’re less than 2 decades out from commercial fusion. Will be world changing, for better or for worse, and I’m excited that we’ll be around to see what it does.
AGI isn’t real, it’s largely a buzzword without a rigorous definition. We will continue to gradually improve the quality of artificially intelligent systems as we improve the hardware and make more progress in understanding intelligence, but there will not be some turning point where there is a sudden explosion in progress from AI when we cross some non-existent AGI threshold. It will just continue to gradually improve over time.
A lot of automation can be done without AGI already. We can see automated factories, ports, buses, etc. There are general purpose robots being put to use as seen here. The article discusses how many processes within the government are becoming automated. All of this was human labor before. Just as automation created explosive technological growth in the 19th century, we could see similar kind of thing happen today.
I don’t think so. Until we get actual intelligence (called AGI now) and Fusion power we won’t have a second industrial revolution. Because once the power issue is solved, we only have a resource problem. We’ll see an explosion of industry if humanity can achieve fusion.
I know the meme is that fusion is always 20 years away, but with recent developments and China’s private companies achieving 2/3 critical conditions for extended fusion it really does feel like we’re less than 2 decades out from commercial fusion. Will be world changing, for better or for worse, and I’m excited that we’ll be around to see what it does.
AGI isn’t real, it’s largely a buzzword without a rigorous definition. We will continue to gradually improve the quality of artificially intelligent systems as we improve the hardware and make more progress in understanding intelligence, but there will not be some turning point where there is a sudden explosion in progress from AI when we cross some non-existent AGI threshold. It will just continue to gradually improve over time.
I’m not talking about it coming from current LLM slop. I mean an actual system that is completely new.
A lot of automation can be done without AGI already. We can see automated factories, ports, buses, etc. There are general purpose robots being put to use as seen here. The article discusses how many processes within the government are becoming automated. All of this was human labor before. Just as automation created explosive technological growth in the 19th century, we could see similar kind of thing happen today.